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Every issue. Every call. The full record — Mondays and Wednesdays, 7:30 AM ET
Nobody Broke the Cryptography

Sep 9, 2026

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15 min read

Nobody Broke the Cryptography

Liquid lost about $320 million because a verification cache glued four fields together with nothing in between. The rangeproof math was never touched.

Somebody Paid $19 to Move 600 Bitcoin

Sep 7, 2026

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15 min read

Somebody Paid $19 to Move 600 Bitcoin

Twelve inputs, 2,000 satoshis each, and a fifteen year old public key taken off the chain in 29 minutes. The migration plan says it cannot do this for the coins left behind.

$1 Trillion in the Account, $700 Million in the Buffer

Sep 2, 2026

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13 min read

$1 Trillion in the Account, $700 Million in the Buffer

Treasury blew past its end-September cash target the day after it published the target. The facility that used to absorb that drain now holds $725 million.

A Rate Hike Is Now the Base Case

Aug 31, 2026

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9 min read

A Rate Hike Is Now the Base Case

Warsh spoke at Jackson Hole and the September contract flipped. The trigger we published four days ago has fired.

$3 Billion Into the ETFs We Said Didn't Matter

Aug 28, 2026

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9 min read

$3 Billion Into the ETFs We Said Didn't Matter

Eight straight days of inflows and the strongest month of 2026. We called this rally a short squeeze two days ago. The bid showed up.

$65,000 Was the Trigger, Not the Floor

Aug 26, 2026

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10 min read

$65,000 Was the Trigger, Not the Floor

Bitcoin broke the level we were watching for weakness and set off the largest short squeeze since 2021. We were offline for all of it.

Strategy Raised $334 Million and Bought Zero Bitcoin

Aug 19, 2026

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9 min read

Strategy Raised $334 Million and Bought Zero Bitcoin

Eight consecutive weeks without a purchase. The equity raise went to defending the preferred instead of buying the coin.

One Company Outbought Every Bitcoin ETF Combined

Aug 17, 2026

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10 min read

One Company Outbought Every Bitcoin ETF Combined

Strategy's preferred stock funded roughly ten times more bitcoin buying this year than the entire US spot ETF complex.

The Treasury Pulled $97 Billion Out in Seven Days

Aug 12, 2026

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9 min read

The Treasury Pulled $97 Billion Out in Seven Days

The cushion that used to absorb that is down to $1.2 billion. CPI prints an hour after this email.

The Rate Fell for the Wrong Reason

Aug 10, 2026

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11 min read

The Rate Fell for the Wrong Reason

Payrolls went negative. Unemployment fell anyway. And a soft fork died one block deep.

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